DAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc.

AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
$82.41
1.35 (1.67%) ▲
5d: -7.77%
30d: +0.54%
90d: +8.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 08, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $90.14 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.18
15.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAL is currently trading at $82.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.94 to $90.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: DAL scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.31 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $83.94 - $90.57
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($105.31)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 18.7% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $83.94 - $90.57
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $80.67
Resistance Level $92.21
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.43
Wall Street Target $105.31 (+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -25.4%
Profit Margin 5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 9.4 vs 9.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $83.15 (+1%)
2-Year Target $83.90 (+2%)
3-Year Target $84.66 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $82.56 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 32.2%) $404.65 (+391%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 32.2%) $190.20 (+131%)
Bear: (PE: 8.0, Growth: 32.2%) $161.67 (+96%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.87
Bull Case $132.70 (+61%)
Analyst growth 48.8%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case $120.64 (+46%)
Market implied 48.8%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case $55.12 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John E Laughter SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-14
John E Laughter SELL 69304 shares 2026-04-10
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-10

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Advanced DAL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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