DCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCO - Ducommun Incorporated
$191.65
2.57 (1.36%)
â˛
5d:
-7.41%
30d:
+9.2%
90d:
+34.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.15
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $191.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $174.91 to $199.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 35.7) compared to its historical average (28.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $187.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DCO scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $212.00 (+10.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $187.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DCO scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $212.00 (+10.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$174.91 -
$199.65
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($212.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$174.91 -
$199.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$187.51
Resistance Level
$209.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.74
Wall Street Target
$212.00
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.0%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.4% premium
PE vs Historical
35.7 vs 28.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$207.75
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$225.20
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$244.12
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36â28)
PE COMPRESSION
$191.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.7, Growth: 22.4%)
$351.68
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 22.4%)
$197.50
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 22.4%)
$167.88
(-12%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard A Baldridge
SELL
10440 shares
2026-03-10
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