DCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCO - Ducommun Incorporated
$168.74
5.24 (3.20%)
▲
5d:
-6.23%
30d:
+2.26%
90d:
+19.64%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DCO trades at premium valuation expecting 6.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DCO trades at premium valuation expecting 6.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$240.12
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$149.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $168.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.72 to $180.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.9) compared to its historical average (26.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $161.87, while resistance sits at $196.63. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $161.87, while resistance sits at $196.63. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$157.72 -
$180.13
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($177.80)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.3% growth expectation is conservative given 611% recent growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$157.72 -
$180.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$161.87
Resistance Level
$196.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.92
Wall Street Target
$177.80
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
611.1%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.3% premium
PE vs Historical
31.9 vs 26.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$173.80
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$184.75
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$196.39
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$163.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.9, Growth: 23.2%)
$305.55
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$208.50
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.2%)
$177.23
(+8%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard A Baldridge
SELL
10440 shares
2026-03-10
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