Ducommun (DCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCO - Ducommun Incorporated
$160.05
-8.54 (-5.07%)
▼
5d:
-6.18%
30d:
-7.22%
90d:
-9.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$251.52
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$156.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $160.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.07 to $172.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.8) is in line with its historical norms (28.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $153.53, while resistance sits at $174.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DCO scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $219.67 (+37.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $153.53, while resistance sits at $174.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DCO scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $219.67 (+37.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$166.07 -
$172.78
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.2% below Wall St target ($219.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$166.07 -
$172.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$153.53
Resistance Level
$174.10
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.83
Wall Street Target
$219.67
(+37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.0%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
29.8 vs 28.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$161.97
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$163.91
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$165.88
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$160.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$299.59
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.2%)
$199.47
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 23.2%)
$169.55
(+6%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 8:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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