DCO
Ducommun Incorporated
AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC
Ducommun (DCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$142.60
-2.59 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
+7.62%
30d:
-15.38%
90d:
-31.1%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$149.85 – $172.62
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.0x
FAIR
vs 28.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$209.83
+44.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$128.47 / $169.73
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$250.21
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.36
8.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $142.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.85 to $172.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.0) is in line with its historical norms (28.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 56.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $128.47, while resistance sits at $169.73.
Market Sentiment: DCO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.83 (+44.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $128.47, while resistance sits at $169.73.
Market Sentiment: DCO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.83 (+44.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$149.85 -
$172.62
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$149.85 -
$172.62
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$128.47
Resistance Level
$169.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.5% below Wall St target ($209.83)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.03
Wall Street Target
$209.83
(+44.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.0%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 28.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$139.16
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$136.23
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→29)
$145.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 22.9%)
$269.46
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.9%)
$198.00
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 22.9%)
$168.30
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.34
Bull Case
$257.56
(+77%)
Analyst growth 60.8%, PE expands to 48.0
Base Case
$234.14
(+61%)
Market implied 60.8%, PE stable at 43.6
Bear Case
$98.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.0 to 28.8
Stabilization Target:
$154.71
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DCO)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Sep 12, 2022
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on DCO are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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