DCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCO - Ducommun Incorporated
$165.12
2.86 (1.76%)
▲
5d:
+1.55%
30d:
+14.37%
90d:
+33.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DCO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DCO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.78
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $165.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.95 to $162.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.9) compared to its historical average (25.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $168.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $168.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$145.95 -
$162.06
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($164.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.4% growth expectation is conservative given 611% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$145.95 -
$162.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$148.83
Resistance Level
$168.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.92
Wall Street Target
$164.00
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
611.1%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
31.9 vs 25.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$174.27
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$187.16
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$201.01
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$162.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.9, Growth: 22.7%)
$300.07
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.7%)
$204.76
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 22.7%)
$174.04
(+7%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard A Baldridge
SELL
10440 shares
2026-03-10
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