Ducommun (DCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCO - Ducommun Incorporated
$175.39
3.45 (2.01%)
â˛
5d:
+1.88%
30d:
+5.91%
90d:
-7.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.15
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $175.39, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $165.75 to $176.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.7) compared to its historical average (28.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $212.00 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $212.00 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$165.75 -
$176.40
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($212.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$165.75 -
$176.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.10
Resistance Level
$177.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.71
Wall Street Target
$212.00
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.0%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
32.7 vs 28.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$183.46
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$191.90
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$200.72
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â29)
PE COMPRESSION
$175.53
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.7, Growth: 22.4%)
$321.84
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 22.4%)
$200.75
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 22.4%)
$170.64
(-3%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 6:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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