Ducommun (DCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DCO - Ducommun Incorporated
$172.73
5.59 (3.34%)
▲
5d:
+3.73%
30d:
-14.23%
90d:
+4.68%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.15
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DCO is currently trading at $172.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $171.33 to $199.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.2) compared to its historical average (28.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $161.18, while resistance sits at $185.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: DCO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $212.00 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $161.18, while resistance sits at $185.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: DCO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $212.00 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$171.33 -
$199.50
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
96.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($212.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$171.33 -
$199.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$161.18
Resistance Level
$185.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.21
Wall Street Target
$212.00
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.0%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
32.2 vs 28.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$180.16
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$187.90
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$195.98
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$172.80
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.2, Growth: 22.4%)
$316.96
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.4%)
$198.49
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 22.4%)
$168.71
(-2%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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