DK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.
$43.41
0.53 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
-2.95%
30d:
+3.11%
90d:
+2.41%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.6% annual earnings decline despite 1870% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.6% annual earnings decline despite 1870% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.23
Based on -23.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $43.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.30 to $47.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1870.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.11, while resistance sits at $50.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.15 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.11, while resistance sits at $50.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.15 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$43.30 -
$47.18
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.15)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.30 -
$47.18
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.11
Resistance Level
$50.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.42
Wall Street Target
$51.15
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1870.0%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 23.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.11
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$37.06
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$34.25
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$43.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -50.8%)
$37.42
(+-14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: -50.8%)
$31.65
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: -50.8%)
$26.90
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 23.3
Stabilization Target:
$54.92
(+26.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shlomo Zohar
SELL
7343 shares
2026-03-19
William J Finnerty
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-18
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SELL
11988 shares
2026-03-13
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