DK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.
$71.47
7.43 (11.60%)
▲
5d:
+9.16%
30d:
+10.33%
90d:
+69.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.16
Based on -30.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $71.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.98 to $67.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1870.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $64.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $64.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$60.98 -
$67.64
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+11.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 10.5% above Wall St target ($64.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.98 -
$67.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.40
Resistance Level
$72.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.50
Wall Street Target
$64.00
(-10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1870.0%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 23.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.11
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$59.31
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$54.04
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$71.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -64.5%)
$59.75
(+-16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: -64.5%)
$52.10
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: -64.5%)
$44.29
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.54
Bull Case
$81.27
(+14%)
Analyst growth 15.4%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$73.88
(+3%)
Market implied 15.4%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$43.55
(-39%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 23.2
Stabilization Target:
$94.75
(+32.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
7343 shares
2026-03-19
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SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-18
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SELL
11988 shares
2026-03-13
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