DK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.
$66.01
-1.86 (-2.74%)
▼
5d:
+2.44%
30d:
+25.47%
90d:
+41.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.76
Based on -26.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $66.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.89 to $65.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.1) compared to its historical average (24.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1870.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.07, while resistance sits at $68.93.
Market Sentiment: DK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $60.67. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.07, while resistance sits at $68.93.
Market Sentiment: DK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $60.67. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.89 -
$65.57
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.6% above Wall St target ($60.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.89 -
$65.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.85
(11.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.07
Resistance Level
$68.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.14
Wall Street Target
$60.67
(-10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1870.0%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 24.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.95
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$62.16
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$59.49
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→24)
$67.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.1, Growth: -56.0%)
$49.48
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -56.0%)
$48.51
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -56.0%)
$41.24
(-39%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 24.1
Stabilization Target:
$77.37
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shlomo Zohar
SELL
7343 shares
2026-03-19
William J Finnerty
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-18
Denise Clark Mcwatters
SELL
11988 shares
2026-03-13
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Advanced DK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DK price and gamma walls.
