Delek US (DK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.
$74.41
-1.38 (-1.82%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.85%
30d:
+11.21%
90d:
+15.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
13d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $76.47 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -25.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -25.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.17
Based on -22.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $74.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.27 to $78.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 25.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1870.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.85 (+14.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.85 (+14.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$71.27 -
$78.82
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.85)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.27 -
$78.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.32
Resistance Level
$81.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.19
Wall Street Target
$84.85
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1870.0%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-25.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 19.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-25.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.97
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$60.27
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$54.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â20)
$129.19
(+74%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -48.6%)
$131.58
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: -48.6%)
$54.24
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: -48.6%)
$46.11
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.58
Bull Case
$166.74
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$151.58
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$51.54
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$177.22
(+138.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+138.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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