DK
Delek US Holdings, Inc.
PETROLEUM REFINING
Delek US (DK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$68.41
+1.25 (+1.86%)
▲
5d:
+9.47%
30d:
-13.37%
90d:
+4.49%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
63/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$67.69 – $78.08
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.7x
CHEAP
vs 18.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$85.64
+25.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$59.37 / $73.82
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -32.4% annual earnings decline despite 523% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.19
Based on -22.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $68.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.69 to $78.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 32.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 522.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.37, while resistance sits at $73.82.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.64 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.37, while resistance sits at $73.82.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.64 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$67.69 -
$78.08
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$67.69 -
$78.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$59.37
Resistance Level
$73.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.2% below Wall St target ($85.64)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 80/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.68
Wall Street Target
$85.64
(+25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
52.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
522.9%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-32.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 18.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-32.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.57
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$55.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$49.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→18)
$161.52
(+136%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -48.5%)
$174.33
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: -48.5%)
$49.87
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: -48.5%)
$42.39
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $20.30
Bull Case
$43.82
(-36%)
Analyst growth -40.7%, PE expands to 3.6
Base Case
$39.84
(-42%)
Market implied -40.7%, PE stable at 3.3
Bear Case
$45.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$221.56
(+223.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+223.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Brazil's Petrobras awards contracts to SBM Offshore for two new FPSOs to expand deepwater operations in the Sergipe-Alagoas Basin.
Key Retail Themes:
Petrobras' offshore expansion
Deepwater oil and gas development
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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