DK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.
$59.86
1.85 (3.19%)
▲
5d:
+14.41%
30d:
+27.17%
90d:
+45.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DK is 14.3% above its trading range ($52.37). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DK is 14.3% above its trading range ($52.37). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.05
Based on -29.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $59.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.20 to $52.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.9) compared to its historical average (23.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: DK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: DK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$44.20 -
$52.37
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($53.92)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.0% growth expectation is conservative given 1870% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.20 -
$52.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.11
Resistance Level
$50.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.93
Wall Street Target
$53.92
(-7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1870.0%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 23.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.07
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$66.42
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$71.06
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.9, Growth: -62.9%)
$42.29
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -62.9%)
$31.84
(-45%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -62.9%)
$27.06
(-53%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shlomo Zohar
SELL
7343 shares
2026-03-19
William J Finnerty
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-18
Denise Clark Mcwatters
SELL
11988 shares
2026-03-13
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