DKL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DKL - DELEK LOGISTICS PARTNERS, LP
$57.56
-2.75 (-4.56%)
▼
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
+10.16%
90d:
+6.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DKL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DKL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.21
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DKL is currently trading at $57.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.44 to $57.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.19, while resistance sits at $61.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DKL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.19, while resistance sits at $61.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DKL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$52.44 -
$57.72
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($55.80)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.2% growth with 19.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.44 -
$57.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.19
Resistance Level
$61.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.96
Wall Street Target
$55.80
(-7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 11.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.67
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$75.92
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$85.19
(+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.31
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.7%)
$109.06
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 11.7%)
$83.96
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$59.45
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.19
Bull Case
$77.08
(+28%)
Analyst growth 18.5%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$70.07
(+16%)
Market implied 18.5%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$40.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DKL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-03-04
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