DKL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DKL - DELEK LOGISTICS PARTNERS, LP
$55.07
0.86 (1.59%)
▲
5d:
+4.68%
30d:
+4.92%
90d:
+10.49%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DKL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DKL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.77
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DKL is currently trading at $55.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.03 to $53.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $53.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DKL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $53.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DKL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.03 -
$53.57
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.3% growth with 19.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.03 -
$53.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.13
Resistance Level
$53.24
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.68
Wall Street Target
$55.75
(+1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 11.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.74
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$67.00
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$73.90
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.39
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.3%)
$121.90
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 14.3%)
$82.14
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 14.3%)
$61.57
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$70.59
(+28%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$64.17
(+17%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$36.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DKL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-03-04
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-02-04
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