DELEK LOGISTICS PARTNERS, LP (DKL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DKL - DELEK LOGISTICS PARTNERS, LP
$54.93
0.46 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
+1.93%
30d:
-0.96%
90d:
+4.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DKL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DKL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.45
Based on 13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.64
6.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DKL is currently trading at $54.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.12 to $56.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.13, while resistance sits at $57.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.13, while resistance sits at $57.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$54.12 -
$56.49
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with 56.2% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.12 -
$56.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.13
Resistance Level
$57.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.81
Wall Street Target
$53.17
(-3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.9%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.63
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$58.39
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$60.20
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 23.4%)
$164.29
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 23.4%)
$103.19
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 23.4%)
$87.71
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$88.88
(+62%)
Analyst growth 48.3%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$80.80
(+47%)
Market implied 48.3%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$37.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DKL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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