DKL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DKL - DELEK LOGISTICS PARTNERS, LP
$54.13
0.42 (0.78%)
▲
5d:
+0.22%
30d:
-6.28%
90d:
+4.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DKL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DKL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.45
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DKL is currently trading at $54.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.47 to $58.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.60, while resistance sits at $60.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DKL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.60, while resistance sits at $60.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$54.47 -
$58.75
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($52.83)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with 56.2% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.47 -
$58.75
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.60
Resistance Level
$60.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.43
Wall Street Target
$52.83
(-2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.9%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.54
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$56.98
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$58.46
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.9%)
$170.18
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 24.9%)
$105.36
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 24.9%)
$89.56
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$89.06
(+65%)
Analyst growth 50.7%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$80.96
(+50%)
Market implied 50.7%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$36.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DKL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Reuven Spiegel
SELL
250 shares
2026-03-04
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