DSGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DSGR - Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Common Stock
$27.70
-0.54 (-1.91%)
▼
5d:
-0.22%
30d:
+2.1%
90d:
+6.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DSGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DSGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.57
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DSGR is currently trading at $27.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.02 to $27.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DSGR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.50 (+24.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DSGR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.50 (+24.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$27.02 -
$27.81
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
100th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 100th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($34.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 3.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.02 -
$27.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.15
(15.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.78
Resistance Level
$28.08
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.10
Wall Street Target
$34.50
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.03
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.37
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$28.71
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.6%)
$53.14
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$41.72
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 14.6%)
$35.46
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.19 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.31
Bull Case
$33.45
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$27.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$21.19
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DSGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert Zamarripa
BUY
14000 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced DSGR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DSGR price and gamma walls.
