DT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DT - Dynatrace, Inc.
$40.46
-0.96 (-2.32%)
▼
5d:
-0.71%
30d:
+1.48%
90d:
+6.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.33
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DT is currently trading at $40.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.28 to $42.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.74, while resistance sits at $44.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.30 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.74, while resistance sits at $44.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.30 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.28 -
$42.77
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.30)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.28 -
$42.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.74
Resistance Level
$44.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.13
Wall Street Target
$45.30
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.6%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 21.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.14
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$39.82
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$39.50
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$40.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$61.61
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$59.77
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 13.9%)
$50.80
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.23 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.91
Bull Case
$48.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$40.46
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$30.95
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 21.6
Stabilization Target:
$41.36
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bernd Greifeneder
SELL
85 shares
2026-03-05
Stephen A Mcmahon
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-03
Michael Guest
SELL
2026-01-09
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