DT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DT - Dynatrace, Inc.
$44.07
0.39 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
-3.19%
30d:
+8.6%
90d:
+36.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.62
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DT is currently trading at $44.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.72 to $44.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.8) is in line with its historical norms (21.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.72 -
$44.40
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.48)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 19.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.72 -
$44.40
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.74
Resistance Level
$44.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.81
Wall Street Target
$45.48
(+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.6%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 21.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.42
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$45.18
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$45.95
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.71
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$64.52
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$61.61
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.9%)
$52.37
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 22.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.94
Bull Case
$52.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case
$43.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$33.42
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 3:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Bernd Greifeneder
SELL
85 shares
2026-03-05
Stephen A Mcmahon
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-03
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