ESAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESAB - ESAB Corporation
$86.72
-2.44 (-2.74%)
▼
5d:
-10.63%
30d:
+4.58%
90d:
-14.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
Get Alerted When ESAB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ESAB is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ESAB is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$183.76
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.10
24.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESAB is currently trading at $86.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.07 to $99.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESAB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.30 (+57.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESAB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.30 (+57.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$88.07 -
$99.61
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.2% below Wall St target ($136.30)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.07 -
$99.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.25
Resistance Level
$96.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.97
Wall Street Target
$136.30
(+57.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.9%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 16.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.35
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$72.60
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$66.43
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$86.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.6%)
$230.66
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 16.6%)
$137.33
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 16.6%)
$116.73
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.78
Bull Case
$173.52
(+100%)
Analyst growth 76.9%, PE expands to 26.0
Base Case
$157.74
(+82%)
Market implied 76.9%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$60.63
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$113.02
(+30.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ESAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shyam Kambeyanda
SELL
59404 shares
2026-02-23
Top Rated Metal Fabrication Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Metal Fabrication by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CRS
Carpenter Technology Cor… |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$525 | 62 BUY |
|
ATI
Allegheny Technologies I… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$196 | 58 HOLD |
|
CMPO
CompoSecure, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$26 | 59 HOLD |
|
CMC
Commercial Metals Company |
SELL
11 analysts |
$80 | 49 HOLD |
|
PRLB
Proto Labs Inc |
HOLD
5 analysts |
$88 | 59 HOLD |
