EXPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPE - Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
$309.00
10.97 (3.68%)
▲
5d:
+4.47%
30d:
+15.83%
90d:
+25.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: EXPE is 7.4% above its trading range ($287.72). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: EXPE is 7.4% above its trading range ($287.72). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$425.11
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$263.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPE is currently trading at $309.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $258.33 to $287.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $312.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXPE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $312.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXPE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$258.33 -
$287.72
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
EXPE is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($291.31)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with 14.7% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Extended 7.4% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$258.33 -
$287.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$251.12
Resistance Level
$312.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.01
Wall Street Target
$291.31
(-2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.3%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$307.57
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$317.41
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$327.57
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$297.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.1%)
$724.95
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 15.1%)
$455.00
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 15.1%)
$386.75
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.32
Bull Case
$648.43
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$589.48
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$200.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert J Dzielak
SELL
8225 shares
2026-03-04
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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