EXTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXTR - Extreme Networks
$23.02
0.70 (3.14%)
▲
5d:
-5.69%
30d:
-22.57%
90d:
-3.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EXTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.54
13.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXTR is currently trading at $23.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.23 to $31.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.02, while resistance sits at $25.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.50 (+45.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.02, while resistance sits at $25.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.50 (+45.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.23 -
$31.04
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.5% below Wall St target ($33.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.23 -
$31.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.02
Resistance Level
$25.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.62
Wall Street Target
$33.50
(+45.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
206.4%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.39
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$23.76
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$24.14
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 26.6%)
$53.16
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 26.6%)
$46.66
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 26.6%)
$39.66
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 16.75 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.37
Bull Case
$27.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$23.02
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$17.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward Meyercord
SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-01
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