EXTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXTR - Extreme Networks
$30.14
0.30 (1.01%)
▲
5d:
+2.2%
30d:
-4.1%
90d:
+36.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EXTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EXTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXTR is currently trading at $30.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.75 to $32.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.1) compared to its historical average (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$29.75 -
$32.13
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.56)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.7% growth expectation is conservative given 206% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.75 -
$32.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.41
Resistance Level
$31.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.07
Wall Street Target
$30.56
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
206.4%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.7% premium
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 16.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.67
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$37.61
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$42.01
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 26.6%)
$61.09
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 26.6%)
$54.91
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 26.6%)
$43.70
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 21.55 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.40
Bull Case
$36.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$30.14
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$23.06
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward Meyercord
SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-01
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