EXTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXTR - Extreme Networks
$31.45
-0.40 (-1.26%)
▼
5d:
-0.69%
30d:
+31.59%
90d:
+107.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXTR is currently trading at $31.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.47 to $30.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.47 -
$30.96
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($29.06)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 16.7% growth expectation is conservative given 206% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.47 -
$30.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.59
Resistance Level
$32.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.07
Wall Street Target
$29.06
(-7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
206.4%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.7% premium
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 15.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.70
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$42.83
(+36%)
3-Year Target
$49.98
(+59%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 26.6%)
$63.75
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.6%)
$57.69
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 26.6%)
$40.00
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 23.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.33
Bull Case
$37.98
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$31.45
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$24.06
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward Meyercord
SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-01
Edward Meyercord
SELL
50000 shares
2026-02-02
Edward Meyercord
SELL
50000 shares
2026-01-02
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