EYE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EYE - National Vision Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$16.78
-0.18 (-1.06%)
▼
5d:
-6.57%
30d:
-1.12%
90d:
-38.67%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EYE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EYE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.71
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.49
46.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EYE is currently trading at $16.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.17 to $17.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 111.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.93, while resistance sits at $17.41.
Market Sentiment: EYE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.27 (+74.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.93, while resistance sits at $17.41.
Market Sentiment: EYE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.27 (+74.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.17 -
$17.64
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EYE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 74.4% below Wall St target ($29.27)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.17 -
$17.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.93
Resistance Level
$17.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.18
Wall Street Target
$29.27
(+74.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
111.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 23.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.10
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.23
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→23)
$20.10
(+20%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$47.12
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 22.3%)
$30.68
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$26.08
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.57
Bull Case
$37.17
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case
$33.79
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$11.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 23.3
Stabilization Target:
$27.57
(+64.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+64.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EYE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
L Reade Fahs
SELL
7601 shares
2026-03-06
L Reade Fahs
SELL
4071 shares
2026-03-06
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