FLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLY - Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock
$24.45
0.82 (3.47%)
â˛
5d:
-8.32%
30d:
+18.12%
90d:
-42.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $26.71 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FLY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FLY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLY is currently trading at $24.45, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.79 to $25.52.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.93, while resistance sits at $28.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.60 (+70.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.93, while resistance sits at $28.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.60 (+70.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$19.79 -
$25.52
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.1% below Wall St target ($41.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.79 -
$25.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.93
Resistance Level
$28.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-14.03
Wall Street Target
$41.60
(+70.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
656.9%
Profit Margin
-129.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Leigh Wheeler
SELL
3766 shares
2026-04-17
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Advanced FLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLY price and gamma walls.