FMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FMX - FOMENTO ECONOMICO MEXICANO, S.A.B. DE C.V.
$120.68
1.97 (1.66%)
â˛
5d:
+2.04%
30d:
-5.04%
90d:
-0.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FMX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FMX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.56
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FMX is currently trading at $120.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.89 to $128.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.2) is in line with its historical norms (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $122.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FMX scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.54 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $122.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FMX scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.54 (+11.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$118.89 -
$128.80
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($134.54)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.89 -
$128.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$115.34
Resistance Level
$122.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.23
Wall Street Target
$134.54
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
107.5%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 22.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.28
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$121.89
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$122.50
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â23)
PE COMPRESSION
$120.78
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: -13.4%)
$87.98
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -13.4%)
$76.02
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -13.4%)
$64.62
(-47%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.13
Bull Case
$132.26
(+10%)
Analyst growth 1.3%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$120.23
(0%)
Market implied 1.3%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$80.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Garza Alfonso Garza
SELL
52311 shares
2026-03-27
Garza Alfonso Garza
SELL
52316 shares
2026-03-25
Garza Alfonso Garza
SELL
52316 shares
2026-03-23
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