FWONA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FWONA - Liberty Media Corporation Series A Liberty Formula One Common Stock
$97.52
1.00 (1.04%)
▲
5d:
+4.34%
30d:
+9.48%
90d:
+19.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FWONA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FWONA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$117.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FWONA is currently trading at $97.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.83 to $95.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 39.9) compared to its historical average (27.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $96.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.00 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $96.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.00 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$89.83 -
$95.07
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($111.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.2% growth with 18.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.83 -
$95.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.03
Resistance Level
$96.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.92
Wall Street Target
$111.00
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.7%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.2% premium
PE vs Historical
39.9 vs 27.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.26
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$123.68
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$140.01
(+45%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.9, Growth: 26.5%)
$195.46
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 26.5%)
$98.28
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 26.5%)
$83.54
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (61x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 61.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.57
Bull Case
$116.55
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 64.4
Base Case
$96.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 61.4
Bear Case
$73.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 55.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 10:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FWONA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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