GATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GATX - GATX Corporation
$180.25
0.11 (0.06%)
▲
5d:
+1.37%
30d:
+4.98%
90d:
-6.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$268.63
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$166.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GATX is currently trading at $180.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $172.90 to $179.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GATX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GATX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $218.75 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GATX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GATX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $218.75 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$172.90 -
$179.41
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($218.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$172.90 -
$179.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$163.48
Resistance Level
$177.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.14
Wall Street Target
$218.75
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.09
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$175.95
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$173.84
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$179.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$334.80
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$248.10
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 11.2%)
$210.88
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.31
Bull Case
$237.70
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.0%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$216.09
(+20%)
Market implied 20.0%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$122.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$186.51
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian L Glassberg
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-20
Jeffery R Young
SELL
2595 shares
2026-02-20
Robert Zmudka
SELL
5200 shares
2026-02-20
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