GATX (GATX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GATX - GATX Corporation
$171.03
2.15 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
-6.91%
30d:
-2.7%
90d:
-3.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
16d
Get Alerted When GATX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GATX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GATX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$260.59
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$161.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GATX is currently trading at $171.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $173.87 to $181.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GATX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $165.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $219.25 (+28.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GATX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $165.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $219.25 (+28.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$173.87 -
$181.54
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($219.25)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$173.87 -
$181.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$165.94
Resistance Level
$187.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.21
Wall Street Target
$219.25
(+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.9%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.41
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$161.92
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$157.55
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$170.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.1%)
$306.04
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 10.1%)
$228.16
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$193.94
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.03
Bull Case
$208.28
(+22%)
Analyst growth 12.1%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$189.35
(+11%)
Market implied 12.1%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$114.84
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$185.55
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Rental & Leasing Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Rental & Leasing Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
URI
United Rentals Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$1269 | 61 BUY |
|
FTAI
FTAI Aviation Ltd. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$339 | 65 BUY |
|
AER
AerCap Holdings NV |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$179 | 53 HOLD |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$65 | 54 HOLD |
|
HRI
Herc Holdings Inc |
BUY
10 analysts |
$189 | 62 BUY |
