GATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GATX - GATX Corporation
$166.79
-0.85 (-0.51%)
▼
5d:
-3.22%
30d:
-13.71%
90d:
-9.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GATX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GATX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$271.87
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$168.81
1.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GATX is currently trading at $166.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $169.02 to $192.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GATX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $163.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GATX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $218.00 (+30.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GATX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $163.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GATX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $218.00 (+30.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$169.02 -
$192.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($218.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$169.02 -
$192.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$163.48
Resistance Level
$173.91
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.93
Wall Street Target
$218.00
(+30.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 16.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$159.95
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$153.39
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$147.10
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$166.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 11.2%)
$336.80
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 11.2%)
$229.55
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 11.2%)
$195.12
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.32
Bull Case
$225.18
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$204.71
(+20%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$116.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$188.76
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian L Glassberg
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-20
Jeffery R Young
SELL
2595 shares
2026-02-20
Robert Zmudka
SELL
5200 shares
2026-02-20
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