GEF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEF - Greif, Inc.
$63.11
-0.35 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
-1.03%
30d:
-4.47%
90d:
-11.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GEF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GEF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.98
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.94
1.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEF is currently trading at $63.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.09 to $66.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEF is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $60.55, while resistance sits at $65.24.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.20 (+20.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEF is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $60.55, while resistance sits at $65.24.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.20 (+20.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$63.09 -
$66.82
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($76.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.09 -
$66.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.55
Resistance Level
$65.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.03
Wall Street Target
$76.20
(+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.6%
Profit Margin
24.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.67
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$62.23
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$61.79
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$62.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 15.9%)
$153.58
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 15.9%)
$98.34
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 15.9%)
$83.59
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$130.39
(+104%)
Analyst growth 85.9%, PE expands to 29.0
Base Case
$118.54
(+86%)
Market implied 85.9%, PE stable at 26.4
Bear Case
$43.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$64.33
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy Bergwall
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-10
Timothy Bergwall
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-10
Bala Sathyanarayanan
SELL
2731 shares
2026-02-13
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