GFL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFL - GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares
$41.05
-0.12 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
-2.03%
30d:
+5.45%
90d:
+14.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When GFL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GFL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GFL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFL is currently trading at $41.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.19 to $41.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.2) is in line with its historical norms (33.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 22.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $40.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $40.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$39.19 -
$41.58
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GFL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($52.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.19 -
$41.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.49
Resistance Level
$42.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.20
Wall Street Target
$52.00
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.2%
Profit Margin
-2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 33.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.89
(0%)
2-Year Target
$40.72
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$40.56
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→34)
$41.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.2, Growth: 50.2%)
$138.54
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 50.2%)
$83.76
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 50.2%)
$71.20
(+73%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.2 to 33.6
Stabilization Target:
$41.55
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GFL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Waste Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Waste Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WCN
Waste Connections Inc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$201 | 59 HOLD |
|
WM
Waste Management Inc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$260 | 67 BUY |
|
RSG
Republic Services Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$246 | 57 HOLD |
|
CLH
Clean Harbors Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$360 | 48 HOLD |
|
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$112 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced GFL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GFL price and gamma walls.
