GLAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLAD - Gladstone Capital Corp
$19.82
0.07 (0.35%)
▲
5d:
+0.61%
30d:
+1.85%
90d:
+12.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.60
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLAD is currently trading at $19.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.85 to $19.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $19.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GLAD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $19.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GLAD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.85 -
$19.60
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.85 -
$19.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.83
Resistance Level
$19.58
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.22
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
44.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.94
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$20.06
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$20.18
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 2.2%)
$45.16
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 2.2%)
$21.18
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 2.2%)
$18.00
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$22.54
(+14%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$20.49
(+3%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$13.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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