Gladstone Capital (GLAD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLAD - Gladstone Capital Corp
$19.65
0.32 (1.66%)
â˛
5d:
+1.39%
30d:
+0.98%
90d:
+3.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GLAD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GLAD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.76
Based on -3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLAD is currently trading at $19.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.50 to $19.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 68.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+12.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+12.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.50 -
$19.96
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.50 -
$19.96
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.12
Resistance Level
$20.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.97
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.8%
Profit Margin
48.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.61
(0%)
2-Year Target
$19.57
(0%)
3-Year Target
$19.53
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
$19.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -10.1%)
$39.67
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: -10.1%)
$19.59
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: -10.1%)
$16.65
(-15%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.12
Bull Case
$19.76
(+1%)
Analyst growth -7.1%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$17.96
(-9%)
Market implied -7.1%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$13.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$19.70
(+0.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 17, 2026 11:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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