GLAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLAD - Gladstone Capital Corp
$18.67
-0.19 (-1.01%)
▼
5d:
-0.64%
30d:
-5.23%
90d:
-1.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GLAD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GLAD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.34
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLAD is currently trading at $18.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.97 to $19.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.97 -
$19.79
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.97 -
$19.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.53
Resistance Level
$19.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.54
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
44.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.35
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$18.04
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$17.73
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$18.58
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 3.2%)
$44.59
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 3.2%)
$20.53
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 3.2%)
$17.45
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$21.82
(+17%)
Analyst growth 5.2%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$19.83
(+6%)
Market implied 5.2%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$12.82
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$19.56
(+4.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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