GO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$9.19
0.03 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
+2.0%
30d:
-7.92%
90d:
+16.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.31
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.50
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $9.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.22 to $10.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.75, while resistance sits at $9.71.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.75, while resistance sits at $9.71.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.22 -
$10.06
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($8.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.22 -
$10.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.75
Resistance Level
$9.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.66
Wall Street Target
$8.38
(-8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 12.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.64
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$10.11
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$10.61
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.4%)
$25.02
(+172%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 24.4%)
$17.70
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 24.4%)
$15.05
(+64%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jason J N Potter
BUY
2556 shares
2026-03-24
Jason J N Potter
BUY
110252 shares
2026-03-23
Erik D Ragatz
BUY
50000 shares
2026-03-19
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