GPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPN - Global Payments, Inc.
$77.31
1.27 (1.67%)
▲
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
+23.76%
90d:
+18.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.57
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.59
1.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPN is currently trading at $77.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.17 to $74.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.7) is in line with its historical norms (4.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.93 (+22.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.93 (+22.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$65.17 -
$74.46
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($92.93)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.17 -
$74.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.50
Resistance Level
$79.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.71
Wall Street Target
$92.93
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 4.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.74
(0%)
2-Year Target
$75.43
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$75.13
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$76.58
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.8%)
$561.03
(+638%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 16.8%)
$121.31
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 16.8%)
$103.11
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.72
Bull Case
$163.64
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$148.76
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$50.58
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.7 to 4.8
Stabilization Target:
$77.50
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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BUY
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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