GPOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPOR - Gulfport Energy Corporation
$173.45
-0.90 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
+2.01%
30d:
+9.78%
90d:
-3.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPOR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPOR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$311.80
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$193.60
10.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPOR is currently trading at $173.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.68 to $169.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPOR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPOR scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $227.08 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPOR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $177.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPOR scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $227.08 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$153.68 -
$169.06
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($227.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$153.68 -
$169.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$163.01
Resistance Level
$177.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.24
Wall Street Target
$227.08
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.8%
Profit Margin
36.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.98
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$166.58
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$163.25
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$172.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.6%)
$931.65
(+437%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 18.6%)
$289.53
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 18.6%)
$246.10
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.47
Bull Case
$201.49
(+16%)
Analyst growth 5.1%, PE expands to 7.3
Base Case
$183.17
(+6%)
Market implied 5.1%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case
$118.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 6.6
Stabilization Target:
$183.54
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GPOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jason Joseph Martinez
SELL
400 shares
2026-04-02
Silver Point Capital L.P.
SELL
84416 shares
2026-03-03
Michael L Hodges
SELL
16769 shares
2026-03-02
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