GPRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$9.89
-0.25 (-2.47%)
▼
5d:
-11.7%
30d:
+0.71%
90d:
+0.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GPRK is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GPRK is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.32
46.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $9.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.84 to $11.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.8) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.54, while resistance sits at $11.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.54, while resistance sits at $11.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.84 -
$11.03
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.47)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.84 -
$11.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.54
Resistance Level
$11.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.79
Wall Street Target
$10.48
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.8 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.01
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.21
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$11.05
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 138.6%)
$192.04
(+1842%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.8, Growth: 138.6%)
$33.38
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.2, Growth: 138.6%)
$28.37
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$22.31
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$20.28
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$6.90
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.8 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$15.15
(+53.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Franklin Park
SELL
100000 shares
2026-04-20
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