GRND Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRND - Grindr Inc.
$15.53
-0.13 (-0.83%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.0%
30d:
+5.65%
90d:
+21.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GRND is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GRND is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.69
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRND is currently trading at $15.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.18 to $17.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GRND scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.80 (+33.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GRND scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.80 (+33.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.18 -
$17.02
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GRND? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($20.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.18 -
$17.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.28
Resistance Level
$17.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.17
Wall Street Target
$20.80
(+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.84
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$16.16
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$16.48
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â19)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.3%)
$32.82
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$32.66
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$27.76
(+79%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$28.22
(+82%)
Analyst growth 63.8%, PE expands to 36.7
Base Case
$25.66
(+65%)
Market implied 63.8%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$10.65
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nathan Richardson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-01
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