GRPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock
$16.21
-0.36 (-2.14%)
▼
5d:
-3.94%
30d:
-6.92%
90d:
+47.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.36
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $16.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.53 to $19.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.59, while resistance sits at $22.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.33 (+59.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.59, while resistance sits at $22.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.33 (+59.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.53 -
$19.42
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.0% below Wall St target ($26.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 17.3% growth expectation is conservative given 109% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.53 -
$19.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.59
Resistance Level
$22.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.87
Wall Street Target
$26.33
(+59.0%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.2%
Profit Margin
-20.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.3% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 12.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.42
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$22.79
(+38%)
3-Year Target
$26.73
(+61%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 18, 2026 12:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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