GRPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock
$19.59
-0.01 (-0.05%)
▼
5d:
-8.93%
30d:
-22.93%
90d:
+7.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GRPN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GRPN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.88
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $19.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.91 to $27.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.75, while resistance sits at $24.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.67 (+56.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.75, while resistance sits at $24.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.67 (+56.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.91 -
$27.84
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GRPN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.5% below Wall St target ($30.67)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.3% growth expectation is conservative given 109% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.91 -
$27.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.75
Resistance Level
$24.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.78
Wall Street Target
$30.67
(+56.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.2%
Profit Margin
-25.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.3% premium
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 16.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.80
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$24.27
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$27.01
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.56
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GRPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.
