Groupon, Inc.Common Stock (GRPN): Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.64
+0.13 (+1.04%)
▲
5d:
-27.01%
30d:
-31.59%
90d:
-42.52%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
0d
Protect GRPN Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$15.45 – $18.53
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.5x
CHEAP
vs 17.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$28.67
+129.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$11.60 / $17.63
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GRPN is down 27.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $15.58 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 8.7/10
Get Alerted When GRPN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.33
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.24
4.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $12.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.45 to $18.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 109.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.60, while resistance sits at $17.63.
Market Sentiment: GRPN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.67 (+129.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.60, while resistance sits at $17.63.
Market Sentiment: GRPN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.67 (+129.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.45 -
$18.53
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$15.45 -
$18.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$11.60
Resistance Level
$17.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding GRPN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 129.2% below Wall St target ($28.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.54
Wall Street Target
$28.67
(+129.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.2%
Profit Margin
-1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.72
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.98
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$10.29
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$12.52
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$15.22
(+21.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.7%
Share GRPN Analysis
Share this live GRPN analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GRPN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Groupon reported a loss in Q3 with revenue missing estimates, but the company expects revenue between $133 million and $136 million for the current quarter and $500 million to $503 million for the full year.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GRPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Internet Content & Information Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Internet Content & Information by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A |
STRONG BUY
58 analysts |
$400 | 67 BUY |
|
GOOG
Alphabet Inc Class C |
STRONG BUY
60 analysts |
$403 | 67 BUY |
|
META
Meta Platforms Inc. |
STRONG BUY
62 analysts |
$850 | 65 BUY |
|
BILI
Bilibili Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$26 | 53 HOLD |
|
BIDU
Baidu Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$135 | 66 BUY |
Advanced GRPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive GRPN Research Pages
