Groupon, Inc.Common Stock (GRPN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock
$19.53
-0.23 (-1.16%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.51%
30d:
+5.8%
90d:
-23.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GRPN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GRPN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.97
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $19.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.57 to $20.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.30, while resistance sits at $22.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.67 (+57.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.30, while resistance sits at $22.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.67 (+57.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.57 -
$20.39
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
27th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GRPN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 27th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.0% below Wall St target ($30.67)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.4% growth expectation is conservative given 109% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.57 -
$20.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$2.29
(11.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.30
Resistance Level
$22.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.71
Wall Street Target
$30.67
(+57.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.2%
Profit Margin
-25.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.4% premium
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 17.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.37
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$23.37
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$25.57
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GRPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.
