GRPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock
$23.54
-2.51 (-9.64%)
▼
5d:
-11.4%
30d:
+46.3%
90d:
+98.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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24 traders called GRPN this week
90% bullish • 7 bearish
90% bullish • 7 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GRPN is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GRPN is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $23.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.49 to $24.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.3) compared to its historical average (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 31.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: GRPN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: GRPN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$16.49 -
$24.78
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GRPN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 31.4% growth expectation is conservative given 109% recent growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.49 -
$24.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.59
Resistance Level
$22.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.26
Wall Street Target
$26.33
(+1.1%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.2%
Profit Margin
-20.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+31.4% premium
PE vs Historical
31.3 vs 13.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+31.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.23
(+31%)
2-Year Target
$44.98
(+73%)
3-Year Target
$59.10
(+127%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GRPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.
