Groupon, Inc.Common Stock (GRPN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock

SERVICES-ADVERTISING AGENCIES
$18.73
0.45 (2.46%) ▲
5d: -0.69%
30d: -15.44%
90d: +11.03%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your GRPN Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 2, 2026 at $18.90 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026

Strength: 8.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GRPN trades at premium valuation expecting 8.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.36
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.64
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $18.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.17 to $23.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.8) compared to its historical average (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.73, while resistance sits at $19.93.

Market Sentiment: GRPN scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.67 (+63.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $18.17 - $23.82
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 63.7% below Wall St target ($30.67)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.8% growth expectation is conservative given 109% recent growth
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.17 - $23.82
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.73
Resistance Level $19.93
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.78
Wall Street Target $30.67 (+63.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 109.2%
Profit Margin -25.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.8% premium
PE vs Historical 21.8 vs 16.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.38 (+9%)
2-Year Target $22.17 (+18%)
3-Year Target $24.12 (+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→17) PE COMPRESSION $18.72 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GRPN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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