H Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation

HOTELS & MOTELS
$180.67
1.19 (0.66%) ▲
5d: -0.17%
30d: -1.61%
90d: +2.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: H shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.92
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $180.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.35 to $187.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.2) is in line with its historical norms (38.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $184.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: H scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $175.35 - $187.57
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($196.04)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $175.35 - $187.57
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $169.86
Resistance Level $184.35
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 37.17
Wall Street Target $196.04 (+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 110.5%
Profit Margin 2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 37.2 vs 38.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $178.14 (-1%)
2-Year Target $175.65 (-3%)
3-Year Target $173.19 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 37→39) $180.76 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 37.2, Growth: 35.3%) $447.30 (+148%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 35.3%) $241.49 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 35.3%) $205.27 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 46.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.92
Bull Case $218.16 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 48.4
Base Case $180.67 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 46.1
Bear Case $138.21 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 41.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.2 to 38.8
Stabilization Target: $188.57 (+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.4%
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jnp 2010-Pg Trust SELL 213434 shares 2026-04-17
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-23
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-19

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