HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$360.44
4.08 (1.14%)
▲
5d:
+0.92%
30d:
-0.46%
90d:
+34.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 24, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HEI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HEI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$262.18
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $360.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $342.82 to $358.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 52.0) is in line with its historical norms (50.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $364.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $364.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$342.82 -
$358.75
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($386.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$342.82 -
$358.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$334.75
Resistance Level
$364.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.04
Wall Street Target
$386.53
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.2%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
52.0 vs 50.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$364.40
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$368.41
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$372.47
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→50)
PE COMPRESSION
$360.75
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.0, Growth: 13.4%)
$525.70
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.4%)
$209.43
(-42%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 13.4%)
$178.01
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (65x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (52x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 64.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.47
Bull Case
$494.81
(+39%)
Analyst growth 26.6%, PE expands to 71.4
Base Case
$449.83
(+26%)
Market implied 26.6%, PE stable at 64.9
Bear Case
$241.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 55.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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