HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$334.17
3.02 (0.91%)
▲
5d:
-0.6%
30d:
+10.95%
90d:
+19.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HEI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HEI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.31
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $334.17, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $308.59 to $340.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 48.8) is in line with its historical norms (50.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $315.00, while resistance sits at $344.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.10 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $315.00, while resistance sits at $344.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.10 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$308.59 -
$340.46
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($386.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$308.59 -
$340.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$315.00
Resistance Level
$344.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
48.80
Wall Street Target
$386.10
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.2%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
48.8 vs 50.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$330.83
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$327.52
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$324.24
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→50)
$334.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 48.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$480.73
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$214.57
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.9%)
$182.39
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (59x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (49x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 59.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.60
Bull Case
$445.47
(+33%)
Analyst growth 22.3%, PE expands to 65.1
Base Case
$404.97
(+21%)
Market implied 22.3%, PE stable at 59.1
Bear Case
$225.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 50.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 48.8 to 50.3
Stabilization Target:
$344.47
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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