HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$344.11
-6.81 (-1.94%)
▼
5d:
-5.8%
30d:
+7.24%
90d:
+19.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HEI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HEI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.76
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $344.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.13 to $354.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 49.9) is in line with its historical norms (50.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $342.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.05 (+12.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $342.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.05 (+12.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$330.13 -
$354.21
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($386.05)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$330.13 -
$354.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$342.50
Resistance Level
$369.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.94
Wall Street Target
$386.05
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.2%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
49.9 vs 50.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$343.08
(0%)
2-Year Target
$342.05
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$341.02
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 50→50)
$344.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 49.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$508.30
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$221.68
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.9%)
$188.43
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (63x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (50x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 62.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.61
Bull Case
$474.12
(+38%)
Analyst growth 22.8%, PE expands to 68.8
Base Case
$431.02
(+25%)
Market implied 22.8%, PE stable at 62.6
Bear Case
$238.63
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 53.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 49.9 to 50.4
Stabilization Target:
$347.28
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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