HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$345.61
1.50 (0.44%)
▲
5d:
-3.47%
30d:
+1.88%
90d:
+17.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HEI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HEI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.76
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $345.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.48 to $354.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 50.2) is in line with its historical norms (50.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $341.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.05 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $341.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.05 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$330.48 -
$354.12
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($386.05)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$330.48 -
$354.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$341.73
Resistance Level
$369.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
50.16
Wall Street Target
$386.05
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.2%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
50.2 vs 50.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$344.92
(0%)
2-Year Target
$344.23
(0%)
3-Year Target
$343.54
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 50→50)
$345.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 50.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$510.51
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$221.68
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.9%)
$188.43
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (63x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (50x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 62.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.61
Bull Case
$474.12
(+37%)
Analyst growth 22.8%, PE expands to 68.8
Base Case
$431.02
(+25%)
Market implied 22.8%, PE stable at 62.6
Bear Case
$238.63
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 53.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 50.2 to 50.4
Stabilization Target:
$347.28
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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