HEICO (HEI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$296.59
-7.16 (-2.36%)
▼
5d:
-6.17%
30d:
-20.84%
90d:
-11.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HEI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HEI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$274.96
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$170.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $296.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $318.47 to $365.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 42.2) compared to its historical average (50.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $295.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HEI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $396.55 (+30.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $295.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HEI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $396.55 (+30.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$318.47 -
$365.76
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($396.55)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$318.47 -
$365.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$295.17
Resistance Level
$332.04
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.19
Wall Street Target
$396.55
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
42.2 vs 50.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$286.44
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$270.11
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$254.71
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→50)
$303.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.2, Growth: 13.8%)
$447.16
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.8%)
$213.98
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 13.8%)
$181.88
(-40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (53x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 52.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.00
Bull Case
$417.08
(+37%)
Analyst growth 20.0%, PE expands to 57.9
Base Case
$379.16
(+25%)
Market implied 20.0%, PE stable at 52.7
Bear Case
$214.88
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 44.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 42.2 to 50.3
Stabilization Target:
$362.12
(+19.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 15, 2026 3:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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