HEICO (HEI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$301.57
-0.88 (-0.29%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.0%
30d:
-7.41%
90d:
-15.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HEI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HEI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$274.80
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$170.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $301.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $300.03 to $323.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 41.8) compared to its historical average (49.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $299.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HEI scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.70 (+30.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $299.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HEI scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.70 (+30.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$300.03 -
$323.46
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($393.70)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$300.03 -
$323.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$299.53
Resistance Level
$312.62
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.82
Wall Street Target
$393.70
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.8 vs 49.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$284.68
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$268.74
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$253.69
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42â50)
$301.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$443.02
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$208.70
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$177.39
(-41%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.07
Bull Case
$400.40
(+32%)
Analyst growth 18.8%, PE expands to 55.5
Base Case
$364.00
(+20%)
Market implied 18.8%, PE stable at 50.5
Bear Case
$208.35
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.8 to 49.7
Stabilization Target:
$358.41
(+18.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 05, 2026 5:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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