HLIT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLIT - Harmonic Inc
$13.67
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+1.79%
30d:
-5.79%
90d:
+37.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
12d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLIT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLIT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.17
15.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIT is currently trading at $13.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.73 to $15.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.17, while resistance sits at $16.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.29 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.17, while resistance sits at $16.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.29 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.73 -
$15.26
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.29)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.73 -
$15.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.17
Resistance Level
$16.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.59
Wall Street Target
$15.29
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Profit Margin
-10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.78
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.89
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$14.00
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 102.8%)
$57.14
(+318%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 102.8%)
$46.14
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 102.8%)
$39.22
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 18.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.73
Bull Case
$16.51
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$13.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$10.46
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLIT price and gamma walls.
