HLIT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLIT - Harmonic Inc
$14.37
-0.29 (-1.97%)
▼
5d:
-2.9%
30d:
-5.46%
90d:
+54.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLIT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLIT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.98
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIT is currently trading at $14.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.15 to $15.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.38, while resistance sits at $15.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.38, while resistance sits at $15.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.15 -
$15.88
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.29)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.15 -
$15.88
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.38
Resistance Level
$15.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.86
Wall Street Target
$15.29
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Profit Margin
-10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.16
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.67
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$16.21
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 102.8%)
$57.14
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 102.8%)
$49.48
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 102.8%)
$42.06
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 18.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.78
Bull Case
$17.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$14.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$11.21
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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