HLIT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLIT - Harmonic Inc
$14.66
-0.92 (-5.91%)
▼
5d:
-14.32%
30d:
+24.24%
90d:
+43.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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1 traders called HLIT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HLIT is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HLIT is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.91
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.85
1.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIT is currently trading at $14.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.27 to $15.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.15, while resistance sits at $17.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLIT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.15, while resistance sits at $17.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLIT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$11.27 -
$15.20
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLIT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.29)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.27 -
$15.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.15
Resistance Level
$17.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.86
Wall Street Target
$15.29
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Profit Margin
-10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.22
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$15.80
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$16.40
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 21.8%)
$30.76
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 21.8%)
$26.47
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 21.8%)
$22.50
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 18.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.90
Bull Case
$20.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$17.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$13.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
23835 shares
2025-12-15
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SELL
6165 shares
2025-12-12
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BUY
47528 shares
2025-12-11
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