HLIT
Harmonic Inc
RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
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Harmonic (HLIT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.40
+0.07 (+0.68%)
▲
5d:
+11.71%
30d:
+3.9%
90d:
-25.29%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
0d
Protect HLIT Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (78%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$9.99 – $10.95
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.5x
CHEAP
vs 16.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.43
+49.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.08 / $11.95
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: HLIT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.54
40.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIT is currently trading at $10.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.99 to $10.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 543.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.08, while resistance sits at $11.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.43 (+49.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.08, while resistance sits at $11.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.43 (+49.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.99 -
$10.95
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.99 -
$10.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.78
(7.5%)
Support Level
$9.08
Resistance Level
$11.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLIT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.4% below Wall St target ($15.43)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.46
Wall Street Target
$15.43
(+49.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
64.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
543.3%
Profit Margin
-7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 16.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.30
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→16)
$10.58
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 52.7%)
$60.41
(+485%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 52.7%)
$34.86
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 52.7%)
$29.63
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.41
Bull Case
$21.98
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$19.98
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$6.79
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.51
(+40.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HLIT)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Harmonic reported Q3 2026 earnings with a 64% year-over-year revenue increase and raised full-year revenue outlook.
Key Retail Themes:
Robust revenue growth
Record Rest-of-Market revenue and customer expansion
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HLIT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLIT price and gamma walls.
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