Harmonic (HLIT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLIT - Harmonic Inc
$12.00
0.36 (3.09%)
â˛
5d:
+3.4%
30d:
+0.0%
90d:
-17.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $11.78 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HLIT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HLIT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.41
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIT is currently trading at $12.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.60 to $12.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.53, while resistance sits at $12.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLIT scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.14 (+34.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.53, while resistance sits at $12.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLIT scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.14 (+34.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.60 -
$12.71
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLIT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.5% below Wall St target ($16.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.60 -
$12.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.53
Resistance Level
$12.48
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.86
Wall Street Target
$16.14
(+34.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Profit Margin
-10.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.52
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.06
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$10.62
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â17)
$12.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 62.6%)
$54.98
(+358%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 62.6%)
$40.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 62.6%)
$34.42
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$25.61
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.4
Base Case
$23.28
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.5
Bear Case
$7.92
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$13.57
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HLIT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLIT price and gamma walls.
