HLNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLNE - Hamilton Lane Incorporated Class A Common Stock
$73.79
-1.84 (-2.43%)
▼
5d:
-15.4%
30d:
-18.3%
90d:
-25.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HLNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.37
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.92
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLNE is currently trading at $73.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.91 to $87.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLNE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.57 (+79.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLNE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.57 (+79.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$78.91 -
$87.71
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 79.3% below Wall St target ($135.57)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-15.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.91 -
$87.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.79
Resistance Level
$93.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.62
Wall Street Target
$135.57
(+79.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$61.26
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$55.13
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$82.12
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$148.54
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 4.4%)
$86.08
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 4.4%)
$73.17
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.92
Bull Case
$86.28
(+14%)
Analyst growth 1.2%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$78.44
(+4%)
Market implied 1.2%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$52.70
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$112.64
(+48.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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