HLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLT - Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
$326.63
-2.98 (-0.90%)
▼
5d:
-0.18%
30d:
+2.01%
90d:
+1.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HLT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$416.65
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$258.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLT is currently trading at $326.63, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $317.69 to $328.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.2) is in line with its historical norms (31.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $335.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $335.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$317.69 -
$328.12
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($352.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$317.69 -
$328.12
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$310.45
Resistance Level
$335.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.24
Wall Street Target
$352.85
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
31.0%
PE vs Historical
31.2 vs 31.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$326.63
(0%)
2-Year Target
$326.63
(0%)
3-Year Target
$326.63
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$326.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$505.68
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.7%)
$324.89
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.7%)
$276.16
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.69
Bull Case
$566.68
(+74%)
Analyst growth 56.3%, PE expands to 54.2
Base Case
$515.17
(+58%)
Market implied 56.3%, PE stable at 49.3
Bear Case
$224.13
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
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Advanced HLT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLT price and gamma walls.
