HNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNI - HNI Corporation
$30.17
-0.58 (-1.89%)
▼
5d:
-4.56%
30d:
-15.91%
90d:
-30.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HNI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HNI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.23
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.57
37.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNI is currently trading at $30.17, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.13 to $35.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.93, while resistance sits at $32.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.00 (+128.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.93, while resistance sits at $32.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.00 (+128.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$30.13 -
$35.47
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 128.7% below Wall St target ($69.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.13 -
$35.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.93
Resistance Level
$32.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.24
Wall Street Target
$69.00
(+128.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
124.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 9.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.15
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$24.44
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$21.99
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$32.43
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 20.2%)
$183.97
(+510%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 20.2%)
$52.39
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 20.2%)
$44.53
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 7.91 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.01
Bull Case
$38.35
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 8.3
Base Case
$31.76
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$24.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$44.48
(+47.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+47.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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