HNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HNI - HNI Corporation

OFFICE FURNITURE (NO WOOD)
$48.35
0.89 (1.88%) ▲
5d: -3.15%
30d: -0.19%
90d: +60.26%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.18
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.09
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HNI is currently trading at $48.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.66 to $50.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.39, while resistance sits at $50.34.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.75 (+44.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $44.66 - $50.13
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.3% below Wall St target ($69.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 120.7% revenue growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $44.66 - $50.13
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.39
Resistance Level $50.34
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.00
Wall Street Target $69.75 (+44.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 120.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -31.5%
Profit Margin 0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 10.0 vs 9.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $50.09 (+4%)
2-Year Target $51.89 (+7%)
3-Year Target $53.76 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→9) PE COMPRESSION $48.39 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.6%) $143.51 (+197%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 13.6%) $70.94 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 8.5, Growth: 13.6%) $60.30 (+25%)
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Last updated: September 03, 2026 8:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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