HNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNI - HNI Corporation
$48.35
0.89 (1.88%)
▲
5d:
-3.15%
30d:
-0.19%
90d:
+60.26%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.18
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNI is currently trading at $48.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.66 to $50.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.39, while resistance sits at $50.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.75 (+44.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.39, while resistance sits at $50.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.75 (+44.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.66 -
$50.13
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.3% below Wall St target ($69.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 120.7% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.66 -
$50.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.39
Resistance Level
$50.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.00
Wall Street Target
$69.75
(+44.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
120.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.5%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.09
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$51.89
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$53.76
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.6%)
$143.51
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 13.6%)
$70.94
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 13.6%)
$60.30
(+25%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 03, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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