HNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNI - HNI Corporation
$41.04
1.34 (3.39%)
▲
5d:
+6.2%
30d:
+23.97%
90d:
+13.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.68
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.99
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNI is currently trading at $41.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.43 to $40.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.00 (+73.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.00 (+73.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.43 -
$40.51
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 73.8% below Wall St target ($69.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.43 -
$40.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.67
Resistance Level
$32.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.21
Wall Street Target
$69.00
(+73.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
124.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.70
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$37.73
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$36.79
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$39.88
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 20.2%)
$182.88
(+361%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 20.2%)
$68.93
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 20.2%)
$58.59
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.00 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.97
Bull Case
$47.93
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$39.69
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$30.36
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$43.03
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 10:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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