HNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HNI - HNI Corporation

OFFICE FURNITURE (NO WOOD)
$49.36
0.12 (0.24%) ▲
5d: +0.96%
30d: +22.03%
90d: +58.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HNI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.44
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.64
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HNI is currently trading at $49.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.92 to $47.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HNI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.75 (+41.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $39.92 - $47.48
Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 31.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.3% below Wall St target ($69.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 120.7% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $39.92 - $47.48
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.14
Resistance Level $50.41
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.21
Wall Street Target $69.75 (+41.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 120.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -31.5%
Profit Margin 0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.7% premium
PE vs Historical 10.2 vs 8.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $51.68 (+5%)
2-Year Target $54.11 (+10%)
3-Year Target $56.65 (+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→9) PE COMPRESSION $49.39 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.6%) $143.51 (+191%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 13.6%) $72.42 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 8.7, Growth: 13.6%) $61.56 (+25%)
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Last updated: August 14, 2026 2:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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