HON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HON - Honeywell International, Inc.
$246.77
3.72 (1.53%)
▲
5d:
+0.42%
30d:
+7.36%
90d:
+16.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HON trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HON trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$354.46
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$220.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $246.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $222.85 to $240.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $252.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $252.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$222.85 -
$240.54
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($262.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.5% growth expectation is conservative given 264% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$222.85 -
$240.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$225.51
Resistance Level
$252.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.34
Wall Street Target
$262.00
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
263.9%
Profit Margin
21.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.5% premium
PE vs Historical
24.3 vs 20.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$258.85
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$275.67
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$293.59
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$242.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.3, Growth: 20.4%)
$424.50
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 20.4%)
$361.49
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 20.4%)
$307.26
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.02
Bull Case
$133.05
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$120.96
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$164.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-19
D Scott Davis
SELL
2367 shares
2026-02-19
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