HPQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$27.12
-0.15 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
+2.15%
30d:
+23.67%
90d:
+30.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HPQ trades at premium valuation expecting 8.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HPQ trades at premium valuation expecting 8.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.43
Based on -8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $27.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.72 to $26.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.25, while resistance sits at $29.11.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $22.98. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.25, while resistance sits at $29.11.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $22.98. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.72 -
$26.40
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HPQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 15.7% above Wall St target ($22.98)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.72 -
$26.40
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.25
Resistance Level
$29.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.06
Wall Street Target
$22.98
(-15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 7.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.64
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$32.22
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$35.02
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.44
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -20.9%)
$62.00
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: -20.9%)
$27.10
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -20.9%)
$21.23
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$34.87
(+28%)
Analyst growth 18.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$31.70
(+16%)
Market implied 18.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$18.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPQ price and gamma walls.
