HP (HPQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$32.12
-0.03 (-0.09%)
âŧ
5d:
+2.62%
30d:
+0.41%
90d:
+42.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HPQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HPQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.55
Based on 0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $32.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.34 to $33.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.60, while resistance sits at $34.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.60, while resistance sits at $34.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.34 -
$33.47
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HPQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($29.66)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.0% growth with 12.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.34 -
$33.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.60
Resistance Level
$34.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.24
Wall Street Target
$29.66
(-7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 7.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.33
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$38.87
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$42.75
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -3.3%)
$57.91
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: -3.3%)
$29.05
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: -3.3%)
$21.86
(-32%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.69
Bull Case
$41.25
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.7%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$37.50
(+17%)
Market implied 16.7%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$21.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPQ price and gamma walls.
