HPQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$24.94
0.16 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
+8.6%
30d:
+1.03%
90d:
+29.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.44
Based on -7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $24.93, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.67 to $24.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.96, while resistance sits at $29.65.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.96, while resistance sits at $29.65.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$22.67 -
$24.99
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($22.91)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.67 -
$24.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.96
Resistance Level
$29.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.23
Wall Street Target
$22.91
(-7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 6.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.23
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$27.78
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$29.42
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -19.9%)
$65.17
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: -19.9%)
$24.62
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: -19.9%)
$20.65
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case
$29.70
(+20%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$27.00
(+9%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$16.47
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPQ price and gamma walls.
