HPQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$23.67
0.13 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
-3.78%
30d:
+8.08%
90d:
+27.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.44
Based on -7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $23.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.38 to $26.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.38 -
$26.48
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.91)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.38 -
$26.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.96
Resistance Level
$29.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.86
Wall Street Target
$22.91
(-3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.78
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$25.95
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$27.17
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.84
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -19.9%)
$65.17
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -19.9%)
$23.53
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: -19.9%)
$20.00
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case
$28.87
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$26.24
(+11%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$16.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
Ketan M Patel
SELL
33321 shares
2025-12-26
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