HP (HPQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$35.48
2.75 (8.40%)
▲
5d:
+11.12%
30d:
+21.17%
90d:
+43.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 25, 2026 at $29.52 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 9.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: HPQ is 10.9% above its trading range ($31.98). Market expects 14.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: HPQ is 10.9% above its trading range ($31.98). Market expects 14.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.91
Based on 0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $35.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.65 to $31.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: HPQ scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $29.66. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: HPQ scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $29.66. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.65 -
$31.98
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Protect Your Profits
HPQ is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading 16.4% above Wall St target ($29.66)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.8% growth with 12.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.65 -
$31.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.61
Resistance Level
$36.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.31
Wall Street Target
$29.66
(-16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 7.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.73
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$46.76
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$53.68
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -3.3%)
$57.25
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: -3.3%)
$32.09
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -3.3%)
$21.29
(-40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.65
Bull Case
$42.63
(+20%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$38.76
(+9%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$22.26
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HPQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPQ price and gamma walls.
