HP (HPQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$33.21
-0.55 (-1.64%)
▼
5d:
+10.65%
30d:
+6.63%
90d:
+25.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HPQ trades at premium valuation expecting 11.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HPQ trades at premium valuation expecting 11.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.31
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $33.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.52 to $33.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $27.52. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $27.52. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.52 -
$33.15
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HPQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 18.5% above Wall St target ($27.52)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.0% growth with 12.5% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.52 -
$33.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.18
Resistance Level
$33.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.71
Wall Street Target
$27.52
(-18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 7.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.47
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$41.60
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$46.17
(+37%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.64
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.8%)
$57.46
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: -2.8%)
$30.98
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: -2.8%)
$22.57
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.62
Bull Case
$41.47
(+23%)
Analyst growth 20.4%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$37.70
(+12%)
Market implied 20.4%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$21.30
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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