HRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRI - Herc Holdings Inc.
$147.24
-0.47 (-0.32%)
▼
5d:
+11.03%
30d:
+3.32%
90d:
+41.54%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$262.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.00
9.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRI is currently trading at $147.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $139.55 to $151.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $150.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.08 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $150.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.08 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$139.55 -
$151.02
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
38th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($171.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with 32.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$139.55 -
$151.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$13.02
(8.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.23
Resistance Level
$150.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.96
Wall Street Target
$171.08
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.0%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$151.80
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$156.51
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$161.36
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$147.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.7%)
$723.31
(+391%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 56.7%)
$496.94
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 56.7%)
$422.39
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HRI price and gamma walls.
