HTHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTHT - H World Group Limited American Depositary Shares
$49.16
-0.38 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
+17.38%
30d:
+21.02%
90d:
+6.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 17, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HTHT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HTHT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.47
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.59
2.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTHT is currently trading at $49.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.35 to $45.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.3) is in line with its historical norms (2.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HTHT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.16 (+22.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HTHT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.16 (+22.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.35 -
$45.36
Company Quality Score
26/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.4% below Wall St target ($60.16)
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.35 -
$45.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.51
Resistance Level
$49.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.30
Wall Street Target
$60.16
(+22.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.3 vs 2.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.23
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$47.31
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$46.41
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$48.47
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.5%)
$662.03
(+1247%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.3, Growth: 15.5%)
$75.80
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.0, Growth: 15.5%)
$64.43
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case
$108.99
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.4
Base Case
$99.08
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.9
Bear Case
$33.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.3 to 2.4
Stabilization Target:
$51.34
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HTHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Theng Fong Hee
SELL
31640 shares
2026-03-20
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