HTHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTHT - H World Group Limited American Depositary Shares
$42.82
0.41 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
-4.55%
30d:
-7.62%
90d:
-13.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 15, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HTHT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HTHT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.64
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.66
23.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTHT is currently trading at $42.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.41 to $45.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.0) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HTHT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.79 (+41.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HTHT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.79 (+41.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$43.41 -
$45.62
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.0% below Wall St target ($59.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.41 -
$45.62
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.40
Resistance Level
$45.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.96
Wall Street Target
$59.79
(+41.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Profit Margin
19.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.51
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$34.97
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$31.75
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$42.10
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.7%)
$730.54
(+1623%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.0, Growth: 15.7%)
$65.77
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.7, Growth: 15.7%)
$55.90
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.34
Bull Case
$93.52
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$85.02
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$28.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.0 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$56.24
(+32.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Theng Fong Hee
SELL
31640 shares
2026-03-20
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