IMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMO - Imperial Oil Limited
$114.64
0.63 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
-4.63%
30d:
-14.37%
90d:
-9.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.39
Based on -9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMO is currently trading at $114.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.69 to $131.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$116.69 -
$131.34
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($107.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.69 -
$131.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.80
Resistance Level
$127.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.97
Wall Street Target
$107.14
(-6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.62
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$99.15
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$92.21
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$114.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -23.2%)
$165.94
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: -23.2%)
$83.57
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: -23.2%)
$71.04
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.22
Bull Case
$247.61
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$225.10
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$76.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$142.13
(+24.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IMO showing a specific setup today?
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