INGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGR - Ingredion Incorporated
$101.59
0.69 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
+1.61%
30d:
-4.15%
90d:
-9.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Get Alerted When INGR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.75
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $101.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.35 to $105.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $97.12, while resistance sits at $105.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.83 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $97.12, while resistance sits at $105.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.83 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$100.35 -
$105.09
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($122.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.35 -
$105.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.12
Resistance Level
$105.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.75
Wall Street Target
$122.83
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.0%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.75
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$95.98
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$93.29
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$101.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$313.79
(+209%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$125.30
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$106.50
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.40
Bull Case
$123.87
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$112.61
(+11%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$68.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$110.26
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 14, 2026 7:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jorge A Uribe
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-31
Davida Marie Gable
SELL
375 shares
2026-03-18
James P Zallie
SELL
9958 shares
2026-02-18
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FRPT
Freshpet Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$82 | 55 HOLD |
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$14 | 53 HOLD |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$76 | 53 HOLD |
|
NOMD
Nomad Foods Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$13 | 62 BUY |
|
SJM
The J. M. Smucker Company |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$115 | 61 BUY |
