INGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGR - Ingredion Incorporated
$101.45
0.33 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
-1.04%
30d:
+4.78%
90d:
-9.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INGR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: INGR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.98
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $101.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.71 to $101.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.17 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.17 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$96.71 -
$101.16
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($121.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.71 -
$101.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.23
Resistance Level
$104.06
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.75
Wall Street Target
$121.17
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.0%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.90
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$96.72
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$94.59
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$101.64
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$294.31
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 7.0%)
$123.72
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 7.0%)
$105.16
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.18
Bull Case
$125.22
(+23%)
Analyst growth 13.5%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$113.83
(+12%)
Market implied 13.5%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$68.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$108.66
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 27, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jorge A Uribe
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-31
Davida Marie Gable
SELL
375 shares
2026-03-18
James P Zallie
SELL
9958 shares
2026-02-18
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