What is the fair value of IP stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for IP to be between $38.01 and $42.45. The current price is $41.49.

What is the analyst price target for IP?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for IP is $48.00. This implies a potential upside of 15.7% from current levels.

IP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IP - International Paper Co.

PAPER MILLS

$41.49

1.13 (2.80%) ▲

5d: +1.84%

30d: +9.44%

90d: +31.71%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $41.34 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 4.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: IP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$84.42

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$52.42

20.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IP is currently trading at $41.49, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.01 to $42.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+15.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $38.01 - $42.45

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 62.9%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.00)
WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $38.01 - $42.45

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $39.92

Resistance Level $42.11

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.88

Wall Street Target $48.00 (+15.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -90.1%

Profit Margin -14.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 13.9 vs 14.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $40.83 (-2%)

2-Year Target $40.17 (-3%)

3-Year Target $39.53 (-5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→15) $41.30 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 122.4%) $202.52 (+388%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 122.4%) $140.03 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 11.8, Growth: 122.4%) $119.02 (+187%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 14.5

Stabilization Target: $43.35 (+4.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +4.5%

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS BUYING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23

Anders Gustafsson BUY 13217 shares 2026-03-12

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