IRDM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IRDM - Iridium Communications Inc.
$48.98
0.53 (1.09%)
â˛
5d:
-2.43%
30d:
+2.81%
90d:
+7.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Get Alerted When IRDM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IRDM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IRDM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.84
5.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IRDM is currently trading at $48.98, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.58 to $49.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.6) compared to its historical average (25.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRDM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IRDM scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $42.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRDM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IRDM scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $42.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$46.58 -
$49.57
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IRDM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.3% above Wall St target ($42.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with 3.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.58 -
$49.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.90
Resistance Level
$50.97
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.56
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(-14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.0%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
28.6 vs 25.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.23
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$53.59
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$56.05
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29â25)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.6, Growth: 58.8%)
$165.31
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 58.8%)
$116.17
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 58.8%)
$98.74
(+102%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (56x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 55.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.87
Bull Case
$105.06
(+115%)
Analyst growth 97.1%, PE expands to 61.3
Base Case
$95.51
(+95%)
Market implied 97.1%, PE stable at 55.7
Bear Case
$32.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 47.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is IRDM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy Kapalka
SELL
2043 shares
2026-04-06
Timothy Kapalka
SELL
3790 shares
2026-04-02
Top Rated Telecom Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Telecom Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TMUS
T-Mobile US Inc |
BUY
30 analysts |
$243 | 59 HOLD |
|
T
AT&T Inc. |
BUY
25 analysts |
$29 | 35 SELL |
|
AMX
America Movil SAB de CV âĻ |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$29 | 62 BUY |
|
VZ
Verizon Communications IâĻ |
BUY
26 analysts |
$52 | 35 SELL |
|
RCI
Rogers Communications Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$43 | 36 SELL |
Advanced IRDM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IRDM price and gamma walls.
