J Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

J - Jacobs Solutions Inc.

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$120.90
2.20 (1.85%) ▲
5d: -2.95%
30d: +6.02%
90d: -6.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your J Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: J shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$207.88
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.08
6.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: J is currently trading at $120.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.67 to $124.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, J is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $115.00, while resistance sits at $125.85.

Market Sentiment: J has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.27 (+33.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $113.67 - $124.00
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.3% below Wall St target ($158.27)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $113.67 - $124.00
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $115.00
Resistance Level $125.85
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.42
Wall Street Target $158.27 (+33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -63.4%
Profit Margin 2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.4 vs 16.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $113.36 (-5%)
2-Year Target $108.26 (-9%)
3-Year Target $103.39 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→17) $119.05 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.6%) $262.80 (+121%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 13.6%) $173.95 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 12.3, Growth: 13.6%) $147.85 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case $266.13 (+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.3
Base Case $241.94 (+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.7
Bear Case $82.26 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 16.6
Stabilization Target: $136.68 (+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.2%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
Shannon Miller SELL 1440 shares 2026-03-06
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-24

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