JBSS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBSS - John B. Sanfilippo & SON
$82.76
1.11 (1.36%)
▲
5d:
+1.93%
30d:
-6.17%
90d:
+1.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBSS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JBSS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.19
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBSS is currently trading at $82.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.53 to $87.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBSS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.72, while resistance sits at $87.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.00 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBSS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.72, while resistance sits at $87.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.00 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$81.53 -
$87.77
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
15th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($102.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 8.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.53 -
$87.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.90
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.72
Resistance Level
$87.16
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.67
Wall Street Target
$102.00
(+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.9%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 11.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.56
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$92.64
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$98.01
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.7%)
$148.14
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 5.7%)
$97.71
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 5.7%)
$82.18
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.71
Bull Case
$98.36
(+19%)
Analyst growth 6.0%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$89.42
(+8%)
Market implied 6.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$57.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBSS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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